Wednesday, March 5, 2008

Hey hey this is a math lesson
we are going to learn probability today

kk 1 is max and 0 is min
we are goin to use the catching of JI as example


When the JI escape
he will escape from singpore, percentage is 50-50
so probabilty will be 0.5 he will get caught

however he is hiding
so we must be able to spot him first which is also 50-50
so probabilty will be 0.25 he will get caught


but then no use spoting him
we must catch hime then
so the probabilty will be 0.125 he will get caught

but then 0.125 is onli the probabilty for first day
as from first day onward we must check the chance again
so let the day be (x)

The probabilty to catch him will be: 0.125 to the power for x
so the probabilty to catch him today which is 7th day will be 0.0000004768371582..........

soif we dun catch him faster the probabilty will be very low
u can see by the percntage to catch him today.
0.0000477%

Thats all for today lesson

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